Well the overreactions to week 1 were absolutely perfect! Lamar Jackson is the next Peyton Manning, the Browns are dead, and the Pats are going to go 16-0. Every sane football fan knows that you cannot make any of those assumptions after 1 fucking week of football. Week 1 is really about sorting the kinks out and figuring out what your strengths and weaknesses are. Some teams that did not look good will turn it around and some teams that looked great will regress. The fucking Ravens are not going to put a 59 spot every week because I am still not completely convinced Lamar Jackson can throw the ball the way he needs to. We did find a few things out last week though, so let’s take that and make fucking bank this week!
Overall ATS 2-1
Overall O/U 1-0
SF 49ers @ Cincinnati Bengals Even
The 49ers traveled to Tampa last week and got a nice win over the Bucs. A win is a win, but both teams really looked like dogshit. Jimmy G. did not show me anything last week and now Tevin Coleman is hurt. The weapons they have on the outside fucking blow with the exception of Kittle. Cincy impressed me last week against Seattle. They traveled to one of the toughest NFL environments and stood toe to toe with the Seahawks and almost walked away with an upset. Andy Dalton looked good and it looks like John Ross is finally worth a shit. SF did not travel back home, they stayed in Ohio all week and that usually spells doom for an NFL team.
Pick: Cincinnati Bengals
KC Chiefs -7 @ Oakland Raiders
The Chiefs offense obviously looked great last week, but to no one’s surprise the defense looked fucking suspect! On the other side, to everyone’s surprise, the Raiders offense looked just fine without AB against a really good defense. Tyrell looked like a legit #1 WR and Josh Jacobs is going to be a star. They lost some pieces on defense with Abram going on IR, but this game is not about defense. I think the Raiders score enough to keep it close. I don’t see an upset in the making, but I see a game that ends somewhere in the 38-34 range.
Pick: Oakland Raiders +7
NO Saints @ LA Rams -2
Jared Goff at home and on the road are like Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Fucking Hyde. Goff has been fucking trash on the road in his career. Trash to the point of almost a 1:1 TD to Int ratio last season. They obviously find ways to win those games but Goff has always been a better QB at home. Last year in LA Goff threw 22 TDs to 3 Ints with a 69% completion percentage. Brees has also had his woes on the road only throwing for 11 TDs and 4 picks last year. The Saints are going to compete in the NFC this year but traveling to LA for their home opener is going to be tough.
Pick: LA Rams -2
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Houston Texans O/U 43
This is not the Jacksonville offense of old. They had Nick Foles who got hurt, but Gardner Minshew is no slouch either, and he is no fucking stranger to scoring points coming out of WSU. We know what the Texans bring to the table with Watson, Hopkins, Fuller and others. 43 seems really low for a game that has 27-21 written all over it. At home the Texans OL should protect Deshaun maybe a little bit. I mean it has to be fucking better than last week so I think the Texans offense should have little issues moving the ball.
Pick: Over 43
BONUS O/U! NO Saints @ LA Rams O/U 52
Two of the highest flying offenses in the league should have no real issues getting to 52. The Rams put up 30 on the road and the Saints put up 30 in a tough Monday Night game. This should be a shootout all night with both teams putting up huge offensive numbers.
Pick: Over 52