We are going to completely disregard what happened last week. The board looks a whole lot better this week than it did last week and hopefully these teams play like they’re fucking supposed to. For example, if the Eagles played at home against Detroit like they did on the road in GB it wouldn’t have been the worst week ever. I also do not give a shit who the Falcons are playing or what the fuck the spread is, I will not be picking them again this year!
Overall ATS 3-6
Overall O/U 1-3
Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens -7
Everyone has spent the first 3 weeks shitting on the Browns while praising the Ravens. The Ravens are 2-1 ATS this year but one of those came when they beat the Dolphins by 40 and the other cover came in a backdoor cover last week against the Chiefs. I am not completely out on the Browns yet. They lost to a real good football team last weekend without almost their entire secondary. Baker has been facing a lot of criticism and I think he has a breakout game this week.
Pick: Cleveland +7
Carolina Panthers @ Houston Texans -4.5
The Panthers have looked solid under backup QB Kyle Allen but they have not faced a defense of Houston’s caliber yet this season. Houston is 2-1 ATS this year and Deandre Hopkins is due for a big game. Carolina has been really good on defense but a Texans team that is clicking like they are is not the same as the Rams they faced in week 1. Look for a huge game from Watson and Hopkins in a big win for the Texans.
Pick: Houston Texans -4.5
Seattle Seahawks -6 @ Arizona Cardinals
The Seahawks are not the same old Seahawks. The defense looks slow and the offense does not have the weapons it has had in the past. The Cardinals on the other hand have not exactly looked good, but they have been more competitive than most people though they would be. I expect this tough divsional matchup to be a close game. Arizona is 2-1 ATS this year with the lone loss coming last week to Carolina, while Seattle is 1-2 ATS with their only cover being a game in which Big Ben got hurt and missed almost the entire game. Kyler’s speed will be a factor and I think Kyler and Kliff get their first win together!
Pick: Arizona Cardinals +6
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Los Angeles Rams O/U 49.5
The Rams offense is finally starting to click with Cooper Kupp emerging as a top 10 receiver in the NFL. What has been overlooked about the Rams though is how good their defense has been. They are 3rd in total YPG against and 6th in PPG against and they will most likely continue that dominance against a usually shitty Bucs offense. Both of these teams have hit the under in 2 of their 3 games and it will be 3 of 4 after this one. The Rams also have this fucking guy!
Pick: Under 49.5
Things can literally not get worse for me right now so it can only go up from here. Can’t fucking quit though!